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Asia Stocks Slump, Oil Soars As Ukraine War Fears Dominate

Oil prices continue to rocket following Russia’s invasion and in afternoon Asian trade Brent rose as high as $113.02 and WTI peaked at $111.50


Asia stock markets
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 1.3%. Photo: Reuters

 

Asian equities endured a rough day with investors growing increasingly fearful about the Ukraine war’s impact on global energy supplies and the economic recovery.

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of his neighbour has sent world markets into a spiral over the past week, further fraying nerves on trading floors already worried about runaway inflation and tighter central bank monetary policies.

The crisis has seen numerous countries hammer Moscow with a series of wide-ranging sanctions that have isolated Russia and threaten to crash its economy.

The measures have injected a huge amount of uncertainty into markets with supplies of crucial commodities including metals and grains soaring. The price of global staple wheat is sitting at a 14-year high – having risen 30% in the past month.

 

Also on AF: Crude Oil Prices Top $110 a Barrel as Ukraine Conflict Worsens

 

But the main source of unease on trading floors is crude, which has rocketed since Russia began preparing to invade. On Wednesday Brent topped $110 for the first time since 2014 and WTI followed suit hours later to hit its highest level since 2013.

In afternoon Asian trade, Brent rose as high as $113.02 and WTI peaked at $111.50.

Wall Street and European markets tumbled on Tuesday and the losses largely flowed through to Asia on Wednesday, which had enjoyed two days of relative calm though the selling was not as severe.

Tokyo, Hong Kong, Mumbai and Manila lost more than 1%, while there were also losses in Shanghai, Singapore, Taipei, Jakarta, Bangkok and Wellington. However, Sydney and Seoul eked out marginal gains.

The benchmark Nikkei 225 index fell 1.68%, or 451.69 points, to 26,393.03 while the broader Topix index lost 1.96%, or 37.23 points, to end at 1,859.94.

The Hang Seng Index lost 1.84%, or 417.79 points, to 22,343.92. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.13%, or 4.64 points, to 3,484.19, while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China’s second exchange eased 0.56%, or 13.07 points, to 2,313.18.

Paris and Frankfurt opened lower but London edged up.

 

Traders’ Eyes On OPEC Meeting

Incoming sanctions have fuelled worries that oil exports will be cut off from Russia, the world’s third-biggest producer of the commodity.

The conflict in eastern Europe comes with prices already elevated owing to tight supplies and a strong recovery in global demand as economies reopen from pandemic-induced lockdowns.

Traders will be keeping a close eye on a meeting of OPEC and other major producers, including Russia, later in the day where they will discuss whether to ramp up output to temper the price rises, which are helping fan inflation.

In his State of the Union address, President Joe Biden said the United States would join a 30-country deal to release 60 million barrels to help temper the surge in prices, though analysts have warned such moves would likely only have a limited impact.

The oil price surge has compounded fears about inflation as it sits at a 40-year high in the United States and hurts Americans in the pocket even as the economy rebounds from the pandemic shock.

 

Fed Forced To Rethink Rate Hikes

However, the Ukraine crisis has given the Fed another headache as it is forced to rethink its plans to hike interest rates to get consumer prices under control.

It had been widely expected to lift this month and then up to seven times more before the end of the year, but commentators say it will likely tone down its hawkishness for fear of damaging the recovery.

“The supply chain issues and inflationary pressures will be top of mind for many investors globally,” Andy McCormick at T Rowe Price said.

“These things will almost certainly complicate the already difficult task that central banks were facing trying to battle inflation.”

Fed boss Jerome Powell’s two days of congressional testimony will be closely watched this week for an idea about the bank’s thinking.

 

Key figures around 0820 GMT

Brent North Sea crude > UP 7.3% at $112.64 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate > UP 7.3% at $110.99 per barrel

Tokyo > Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.7% at 26,393.03 (close)

Hong Kong > Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.8% at 22,343.92 (close)

Shanghai > Composite: DOWN 0.1% at 3,484.19 (close)

New York > Dow: DOWN 1.8% at 33,294.95 (Tuesday close)

 

  • AFP with additional editing by Sean O’Meara

 

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Sean O'Meara

Sean O'Meara is an Editor at Asia Financial. He has been a newspaper man for more than 30 years, working at local, regional and national titles in the UK as a writer, sub-editor, page designer and print editor. A football, cricket and rugby fan, he has a particular interest in sports finance.