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Japan Trade Balance Widens on Record April Imports Bill

Shoring up the prospects of a private demand-led recovery, however, was a gauge of capital expenditure that posted its first monthly gain in three months


The latest minutes of the Bank of Japan board meeting reveal fissures over policy and concerns on how to tackle a plunging yen and stabilise the world's third-largest economy.
The weak yen has become a fresh challenge for Japanese policy-makers as it hurts the economy by inflating already rising costs of importing fuel and raw material goods. File photo: Reuters.

 

Japan’s exports showed strong growth in April, but it was not enough to offset the country’s import bill, which set a record.

Exports rose 12.5% in April from a year earlier, Ministry of Finance data showed, led by US-bound shipments of cars and outdoing a 13.8% increase expected by economists in a Reuters poll. It followed a 14.7% rise in March.

But imports rose 28.2% in the year to April, versus the median estimate for a 35.0% increase, as a weaker yen helped boost already surging global commodity prices.

Shoring up the prospects of a private demand-led recovery, however, was a gauge of capital expenditure that posted its first monthly gain in three months.

The mixed data on Thursday followed the yen’s falls to two-decade lows beyond 131 to the dollar earlier in May, which stoked fears of worsening terms of trade and added financial burdens for the resource-poor economy as import costs soar.

 

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Weak Yen Has Less Impact

A weak yen, once considered a boon to Japan’s export-led economy, is now having less of an impact as shipments grow smaller, given the shift by Japanese manufacturers to offshore production.

That resulted in a trade deficit of 839 billion yen ($6.54 billion), narrower than the median estimate for a 1.15 trillion yen shortfall but posting a ninth straight month in the red.

Analysts have warned of the risks of prolonged cost-push inflation to the fragile economy with external factors, not domestic demand, pushing import bills higher.

Separate data showed on Thursday that Japan’s core machinery orders rose 7.1% in March from the previous month, versus a 3.7% increase expected by economists in a Reuters poll.

The volatile data series, regarded as a leading gauge of capital expenditure in the coming six to nine months, provided a glimmer of hope for a domestic demand-led recovery.

Japan’s economy shrank for the first time in two quarters in the January-March period as Covid-19 curbs hit the service sector and surging commodity prices created new pressures.

 

  • Reuters with additional editing by George Russell

 

 

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George Russell

George Russell is a freelance writer and editor based in Hong Kong who has lived in Asia since 1996. His work has been published in the Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, New York Post, Variety, Forbes and the South China Morning Post.

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