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Asian traders subdued ahead of feared Fed slowdown

Market movements were minimal as eyes remained fixed on the US looking for signals Washington is set to apply the brakes on its pandemic bounceback

 

Asian shares inched back slightly on Wednesday with investors wary of any hint of hawkishness from the US Federal Reserve.

A looming data dump on Chinese retail sales and industrial production offered another reason for caution, with some modest slowdown in annual growth expected.

Moves were mostly modest, apart from the oil market where Brent hit its highest price since April 2019 off the back of post-pandemic demand and restricted production.

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MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.3%, while Chinese blue chips fell 1.1%. 

Japan’s Nikkei eased 0.5% but South Korean stocks rose 0.6% to a record high after five months of effort. 

Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore, Wellington, Manila, Mumbai and Taipei all fell though Sydney, Bangkok and Jakarta rose.

Both S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were little changed. EUROSTOXX 50 futures were also flat, while FTSE futures edged up 0.1%.

FED MEETING

Dealers exercised caution ahead of the conclusion of the Fed’s two-day meeting later in the session.

“We think Chair Powell will indicate officials discussed talking about tapering, but tapering itself is still someway off given the Fed remains well short on making substantial progress on employment with payrolls still 7.3 million below pre-pandemic levels,” said NAB economics director Tapas Strickland.

Key will be Fed members’ projections, or dot plots, for interest rates and whether more now tip a hike in 2023. Previously only 7 out of 18 had seen such a move.

There could also be some upward movement in inflation projections for this year and next, given the last two readings on consumer prices surprised to the high side.

BONDS UNTROUBLED

The bond market seemed untroubled with 10-year Treasury yields holding at 1.50%, just above a recent four-month low of 1.428%.

The Fed’s dogged dovishness has kept the dollar generally restrained, though it did eke out a one-month top overnight against a basket of currencies. The dollar index was last at 90.519.

The dollar was a shade firmer on the yen at 110.09, but short of resistance around 110.33. The euro was holding at $1.2128, having found support near $1.2090.

In commodity markets, gold was pinned at $1,858 an ounce and not far from a one-month trough of $1,843.

COOMODITIES CONTAINMENT

Copper lost some ground as China confirmed it would release some reserves of copper, aluminium and zinc to help contain recent price rises in commodities.

Oil prices continued their bullish run to hit their highest in more than two years amid signs of stronger demand and still tight supplies. [O/R]

Brent climbed 61 cents to $74.60 a barrel and was aiming for the 2019 peak of $75.63, while U.S. crude added 54 cents to $72.66.

 

MARKETS

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.5% at 29,291.01 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.7% at 28,436.84 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 1.1% at 3,518.33 (close)

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.3% at 34,299.33 (close)

 

  • Reporting by Reuters and AFP

 

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