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China must guard against rebound in shadow lending: CBIRC

BEIJING: China must guard against any rebound in off-balance sheet lending in the so-called shadow banking sector, and must dispose of non-performing assets as soon as possible, the head of the country’s banking and insurance regulator said on Sunday.

In recent years, China has clamped down on shadow banking, concerned about the hidden risks in the high volume of complex and potentially risky loans in the sector.

But as a weakening economy puts pressure on businesses and individuals, authorities fear shadow lending and illegal loans might surge.

After the outbreak of the new coronavirus this year, high-risk banks with complex structures may stage a comeback, Guo Shuqing, chairman of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, wrote in an article published in the Communist Party journal Qiushi.

“A slight relaxation of regulations may lead to a full resurgence, and all previous efforts would go to waste,” Guo wrote.

Due to the coronavirus epidemic, leverage is expected to rebound significantly in the Chinese economy this year, and bad debts of financial institutions may rise substantially, he warned.

After the “black swan” epidemic, it is inevitable that asset quality will deteriorate, and due to a time lag, the current asset classification has not accurately reflected the true risk, he said.

A “black swan” event refers to an unforeseen occurrence that typically has extreme consequences.

Financial institutions should dispose of non-performing assets as early as possible, and covering up would only bring serious consequences, Guo said.

China should also implement targeted measures in dealing with institutions with varying levels of risk, he said.

Outside of China, external factors could also threaten financial security, Guo said.

Current international cooperation is not ideal, and the US entity list imposed on some companies including Chinese firms has added uncertainty to the global economic recovery and disrupted financial stability and security, he said.

Washington restricts sales of US goods to companies on the entity list.

$490 bn in bad loans likely to be shed: Guo

China’s banking industry is expected to dispose 3.4 trillion yuan ($489.91 billion) of bad loans in 2020 to contain financial risks in an economy weakened by Covid-19, the official Xinhua News Agency reported late last week.

“The sector will further step up bad loan disposals in 2021, as some of the problems will be exposed next year due to delayed loan payments,” Xinhua quoted Guo Shuqing as saying in last Thursday.

Chinese lenders disposed 2.3 trillion yuan of bad loans in 2019, according to Guo.

Guo, also the Communist Party chief of China’s central bank, warned that financial risks are prone to occur under current circumstances, and that the upward pressure on bad loans is “relatively big”.

He urged banks to boost loan loss provisions and replenish their capital to strengthen their buffers against risks.

AF China Bond