Former hedge fund boss and investment guru Ray Dalio said a “perfect storm” is forming that will spread economic pain as the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates.
Dalio, who built Bridgewater Associates into one of the world’s biggest hedge funds before handing control of the $150 billion firm to a new generation of investors this month, said government stimulus programmes during the pandemic have created a bubble.
Domestic tension in the US population caused by “irreconcilable differences” and a yawning wealth gap, combined with international conflicts, are contributing to the perfect storm, he said.
“The Fed and the government together gave enormous amounts of debt and credit and created a lurch forward. A giant lurch forward and created a bubble. Now they’re putting on the brakes. So now we’re going to create a giant lurch backward,” Dalio said at the Greenwich Economic Forum.
To fight inflation, Dalio said the Fed will continue raising rates. “And there’ll be real pain, of course,” he added.
Interest rates above 4.5% could tip the economy into a downturn, he said. “I don’t know whether that’s 4.5% or the economy could not take an interest rate much higher than that before it’s going to be negative.”
Last week, Bridgewater announced that Dalio had handed over control of the $150 billion hedge fund firm to a new generation, although he remains a meaningful owner of it.
The 73-year-old investor will keep his seat on Bridgewater’s operating board of director and will mentor the firm’s chief investment officers.
- Reuters with additional editing by Jim Pollard
