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China’s BYD Targets Sale of 1.6m EVs Abroad in 2026: CitiBank

BYD has been building factories for local assembly in countries such as Hungary and Brazil and it plans a third plant for Europe, with Spain the top candidate.


BYD's car carrier is seen at Lianyungang port in Jiangsu province, China (Reuters file image from April 2024).

 

BYD, China’s top electric vehicle maker, is hoping that new car models will boost its sales abroad to over 1.5 million vehicles in 2026.

The group is aiming to expand its sales overseas with high double-digit growth from 2025, according to a report by Citi, the US investment bank, on Tuesday.

Overseas sales guidance of 1.5 million to 1.6 million vehicles is up from an expected 900,000 to 1 million vehicles sold outside China this year, “with growth driven by new model launches,” the Citi note said, citing a meeting with BYD management on Tuesday.

 

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BYD’s “overseas sales mix is balanced across different regions, with Europe, North America and ASEAN [Southeast Asia] accounting for one-third of total 2025 overseas sales respectively,” according to Citi.

BYD management also expects a decline in capital expenditure in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter, followed by a significant decline in 2026, “considering vehicle and battery production capacity should be able to meet demand,” the report said.

BYD didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Citi didn’t mention an overall BYD sales target for 2026. The automaker reduced the 2025 target by 16% to 4.6 million vehicles after its sales at home fell in recent months.

BYD, which last month reported its biggest quarterly profit fall in over four years, has shipped about 20% of total vehicles overseas so far this year, double the level shipped abroad in 2024.

BYD is facing stiffer competition in China from local rivals such as Geely and Leapmotor in the budget car segment.

BYD has built at least eight mega factories across China in the past five years. The company has been building overseas factories for local assembly in countries such as Hungary and Brazil and it plans a third plant for Europe, with Spain the top candidate, Reuters has reported previously.

 

  • Reuters with additional editing by Jim Pollard

 

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Jim Pollard

Jim Pollard is an Australian journalist based in Thailand since 1999. He worked for News Ltd papers in Sydney, Perth, London and Melbourne before travelling through SE Asia in the late 90s. He was a senior editor at The Nation for 17+ years.